Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China's Extraordinary Rise
Carl E. Walter
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The truth behind the rise of China and whether or not it will be able to maintain it
How did China transform itself so quickly? In Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China's Extraordinary Rise, Revised Edition Carl Walter and Fraser Howie go deep inside the Chinese financial machine to illuminate the social and political consequences of the unique business model that propelled China to economic powerhouse status, and question whether this rapid ascension really lives up to its reputation.
All eyes are on China, but will it really surpass the U.S. as the world's premier global economy? Walter and Howie aren't so certain, and in this revised and updated edition of Red Capitalism they examine whether or not the 21st century really will belong to China.
- The specter of a powerful China is haunting the U.S. and other countries suffering from economic decline and this book explores China's next move
- Packed with new statistics and stories based on recent developments, this new edition updates the outlook on China's future with the most cutting-edge information available
- Find out how China financed its current position of strength and whether it will be able to maintain its astonishing momentum
Indispensable reading for anyone looking to understand the limits that China's past development decisions have imposed on its brilliant future, Red Capitalism is an essential resource for anyone considering China's business strategies in today's extremely challenging global economy.
platforms, which will be discussed further in Chapter 5. But this time, their scale of borrowing is much, much larger; the press has even taken to referring to this as “Great Leap Forward Lending,” harking back to Mao Zedong’s ill-considered Great Leap Forward of 1958–1961. In early 2010, the regulators and Party spokesmen have taken the line that such investments will pay off over time. This is being echoed by brigades of analysts the world over, but the implication is well-understood by the
Department, China Development Bank January 11, 20101 The combination of bank restructuring and the stock market’s collapse from mid-2001 catalyzed dynamic growth in China’s bond markets. This period began with the appointment of Zhou Xiaochuan to the governorship of the PBOC in early 2002. That year, a total of RMB933 billion (US$113 billion) in bonds, largely Chinese government bonds (CGB) and policy-bank bonds, was issued. By 2009 new issuance had nearly tripled, to RMB2.8 trillion
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other, sufficiently funding the programs it does have. Moreover, the funds it has under management lack suitable investment opportunities that can, with acceptable risk, yield returns higher than the rate of inflation. As noted earlier, at present only stocks and real estate, both highly speculative in nature, can potentially provide such a return. This harks once more back to the issue of China’s stunted capital markets. As the workforce ages, it appears likely that Beijing may have to fund any
European Economic Community from the start. Yet it is only today, more than a decade later, that problems have emerged in public and markets have focused on them. Greece is an open economy with a thriving democracy. Think how long things may be obscured within China’s still-opaque economic and political system. Given China’s geographical size and huge population, it is unlikely that its economy will grind to a halt in the way that Japan’s did after its magnificent run in the 1980s. Unlike the